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CNBC: Gold's golden cross: The metal just formed a chart pattern that can signal a breakout

Published by Kirke Sööt in category Financial news on 23.05.2017
Gold price (XAU-EUR)
2203,09 EUR/oz
- 27,25 EUR
Silver price (XAG-EUR)
26,21 EUR/oz
- 0,62 EUR

Gina Francolla , Fred Imbert

CNBC, 22 May 2017

  • Gold’s 50-day moving average rose above its 200-day moving average on Monday, a bullish chart signal.
  • When the shorter-term 50-day moving average crosses above the longer-term 200-day moving average a “golden cross” is formed.
Gold is up nearly 10 percent this year and might be primed for more gains if a signal tracked by technical analysts triggered Monday is any guide.

A small gain was enough to push the metal’s 50-day moving average price above the average price of the last 200 days, forming what’s known as a “golden cross” in technical analysis circles. This is seen as a positive signal that demonstrates an asset is outperforming so well in the short-term that it may reverse a longer term downtrend.

Gold since Feb. 6 with 50-day and 200-day moving averages:

Source: FactSet

Gold futures for June delivery rose 0.62 percent, or $7.80, to settle at $1,261.40 per ounce Monday, adding to its already strong yearly performance. The precious metal is outperforming the S&P 500 index, which is up more than 6.5 percent, as investors hedge against the possibility that the Trump administration does not succeed in pushing through its pro-growth agenda.

To be sure, some technical analysts believer there’s more work to be done before this is a true gold breakout.

“In my humble opinion, gold remains in a tight jam,” forming a so-called pennant pattern between a 16-year rising support level and a falling six-year resistance level, said Chris Kimble, founder of Kimble Charting Solutions, in a note.

“Pennant patterns tend to frustrate both bulls and bears, as little net progress is made, [and] only quick traders make money in this pattern,” he said. “Pennant patterns don’t suggest which direction any asset will take. They do historically suggest that when the breakout/breakdown takes place, it is usually a big one.”

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